Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.197596 0.236168 0.277455 0.324645 0.376802 0.432413 0.495918
2025-03-02 0.133154 0.182192 0.239035 0.308580 0.390191 0.481830 0.591416
2025-03-09 0.098311 0.153590 0.222640 0.312272 0.422740 0.551863 0.711647
2025-03-16 0.068822 0.124737 0.200380 0.304533 0.438951 0.601844 0.809480
2025-03-23 0.054554 0.112888 0.197340 0.319210 0.482089 0.684744 0.948552
2025-03-30 0.039794 0.096375 0.184819 0.318973 0.504760 0.741995 1.057119
2025-04-06 0.029115 0.083309 0.174796 0.320233 0.528203 0.799864 1.167003
2025-04-13 0.022228 0.074851 0.170219 0.328138 0.560097 0.868754 1.291696
2025-04-20 0.017293 0.068563 0.167951 0.338671 0.595350 0.942323 1.423303
2025-04-27 0.013186 0.062483 0.164905 0.347253 0.627545 1.012024 1.550686
2025-05-04 0.009013 0.054101 0.156148 0.345586 0.644143 1.060370 1.650313
2025-05-11 0.006590 0.049267 0.153218 0.352841 0.673695 1.126636 1.774310
2025-05-18 0.004106 0.042340 0.145041 0.350849 0.689664 1.175175 1.876717
2025-05-25 0.001879 0.033157 0.129858 0.334951 0.683102 1.191428 1.935461
2025-06-01 0.001065 0.029448 0.126295 0.339434 0.708293 1.253107 2.056820
2025-06-08 0.000379 0.023913 0.116721 0.331592 0.713085 1.285097 2.137490
2025-06-15 0.000224 0.023048 0.119335 0.347300 0.756515 1.374010 2.298079
2025-06-22 0.000054 0.019751 0.114218 0.347165 0.773570 1.424238 2.405156
2025-06-29 0.000004 0.017078 0.110117 0.348562 0.792959 1.477992 2.517589
2025-07-06 NaN 0.015617 0.109463 0.356955 0.824260 1.549851 2.656193
2025-07-13 NaN 0.014629 0.110140 0.368104 0.860406 1.629321 2.806184
2025-07-20 NaN 0.013479 0.109909 0.377178 0.893076 1.703873 2.949808
2025-07-27 NaN 0.011308 0.104995 0.375426 0.906626 1.749395 3.052286